New forecasts will be presented on January 20

Finally, the date is set. The renegotiation of the Unedic agreement will start January 24. The current rules that apply to March 31 came into force less than two years ago. But crisis requires, it had deviated from the rule that any reform of the unemployment insurance lasts three years. One thing is certain: 2011 will not look to 2008. At this time, a real drama is was played, resulting in a single agreement Unedic, that of the CFDT Union signature.

A posteriori, the conclusion is positive for the power of François Chérèque: she took risks, but not beaten. According to latest figures, in late November, the reform provides a day of compensation worked from four months of activity, daily allowed compensation of some 310,000 unemployed more than the old system. This balance is provisional because it is from now those to which reform has shortened the duration of compensation will be affected. But it will remain an acquired: the extension of the benefit of the Unedic precarious workers, which many young people.

Problem: the agreement also increased by EUR 1.2 billion deficit of Unedic, that has undergone head-on the crisis. New forecasts will be presented on January 20. According to those of the 15 December, the deficit reached EUR 3 billion in 2010 and would still amount to at least 1.8 billion this year. The accumulated deficit will reach at least 11 billion end 2011.

Device extended

Employers however wanted reassuring in its bilateral meetings with trade unions. According to several sources, it would consider the renewal of the device for two years. A term that is consensus: no question of renegotiating in full presidential campaign.

The issue of the negotiation that will engage will therefore primarily in the number of the future agreement Union signatures. A problem has been solved in 2009: the limitation of compensation for the more precarious imposed by the Medef has been removed thanks to a legal battle conducted by FO.

But it remains a very sensitive: the clause of the current agreement which provides for a lowering of contributions improved the finances of the regime, without taking into account its debt. Employers want to keep the principle but could accept the rewrite so that it does not apply prior to a recovery of finance. This could open the voice to four Union swashes: CFDT, CFTC and GSC, but also FO. Question about whether she would be ready to sign the convention if it remained on the existing foundations, its leader, Jean-Claude Mailly, replied: "with improvements on some points, Yes."

The rights issue rechargeable (maintain its ancient rights for reenlistment unemployed if they are more advantageous than those acquired in the last job), in particular by the CFTC and CFDT, should also return to discussion. And that the establishment of a malus on precarious contracts. The CGT would add seasonal contracts and conventional breaks while the CFDT would strengthen the Unedic on pole employment requirements.

Finally, but this will come in any end, should be addressed the merger between contracts of professional transition and custom reclassification conventions desired by the head of State. With at least one point of agreement: no question that the State would divest financially on the Unedic.